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Supercomputer predicts Premier League top four as Manchester city, Newcastle and Chelsea miss out

The top four in the Premier League are predicted by a supercomputer, with Manchester United, Newcastle United, and Chelsea missing out.
Manchester United, Chelsea, and Newcastle have all had poor starts to the Premier League, and a supercomputer predicts that they will lose out on a place in the top four, with Tottenham slipping in.

Manchester United and Chelsea are predicted to finish outside the top four by a supercomputer.

The Premier League season is only four games old, but metrics and algorithms are already being used to predict how the final table will look in May. Champions Manchester City have made a commanding start in their pursuit of a fourth consecutive Premier League title.

United and Chelsea, on the other hand, have underwhelmed, losing on two occasions already, whilst Tottenham have shown early promise under Ange Postecoglou and, despite losing Harry Kane, have been backed by an Opta supercomputer to finish in the Champions League spots.

They have calculated the probability that a club will finish in the top four. City, who have won their first four games, have an astounding 99.93% chance of finishing in the top four, with Liverpool a close second at 91.11 percent.

Arsenal, last season’s runners-up, have dropped two points in their first four games and have an 82.43 percent chance of qualifying for the Champions League next season. There is a significant drop-off after that, although Tottenham have been picked to win the game.

The north Londoners have a 31.68% chance of finishing in the top four. This puts them just ahead of Manchester United, whose own issues have been highlighted by defeats at Tottenham and Arsenal. Newcastle began the season gently, but in a difficult manner, winning one and losing three of their first four games.

This is mirrored in their top four percentage, with Newcastle given a 16.69% chance of repeating last season’s achievement and qualifying for the Champions League – the seventh-best percentage. Despite losing some key players during the summer, Brighton has been given a better chance of finishing in the top four.

The bad news for Chelsea is that they are the 11th most likely team to finish in the top four. Mauricio Pochettino is settling into his new role in west London, and West Ham, Aston Villa, and Brentford have all been given a better chance of qualifying for the Champions League next season.

The Premier League season begins on August 12. You can sign up for a discounted 18-month subscription today and watch every Premier League action as it happens throughout the 2023/2024 season.

According to Opta’s model, the Blues have a better probability of qualifying for the Europa League than the Champions League. This season could see a shift in how many English clubs are given a seat at Europe’s top table, but that will be determined by how well they perform. Going forward, the fifth-place finisher may be given a spot in the Champions League.

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